Decision strip
What the role says now
Role coolingSeason volume
38.4opp/g
Last-three delta
-9.7opp/g
Snap-share delta
-14.4 pts
Red-zone role
6.3opp/g
TD vs expected
21 / 27.8
6.8 under expected
Next matchup
@ SEA
Aug 15 · Preseason
Opportunity volume and snap share are both below the season baseline. Strong inside-five usage supports touchdown upside. TD output is below expectation.
Position percentile
Season profile
Strengths
Pass Yards / Game267.8#3/56
P96
Pass TD30#6/56
P91
Completion %67.3%#13/56
P78
Yards / Attempt7.6#10/56
P84
Sack Rate4.9%#15/56
P75
Snaps / Game66.8#3/57
P96
Watchouts
Interceptions10#40/56
P29
Rush Yards / Game10.4#29/39
P26
Game by game
2025 production
season 19.2 · last 5 15.2
Season avg
19.2
Last five
15.2
Peak
31.0
Recent fantasy pts is below the season baseline. Opponent, result, and snap share are available in each played-game tooltip; empty weeks are explicitly retained.
Boom / bust
Consistency profile
17 games · boom 25+ · bust under 12.
PPG
19.2
Median
21.6
Floor (p25)
14.0
Ceiling (p75)
23.3
Best
31.0
Worst
1.7
Boom weeks
4/17
Bust weeks
4/17
Volatility
42%
0bust < 12boom ≥ 2533
Each dot = gameBand = middle 50%Line = average
Fantasy market
Draft context
ADP (PPR)
79.8
Overall #77 · QB10
Snapshot Aug 10, 2026
2025 season projection
325.8proj fpts
4552 pass yds · 30 TD
Snapshot May 27, 2026
Wire