Decision strip
Season volume
40.4opp/g
Last-three delta
-4.8opp/g
Snap-share delta
-0.1 pts
Red-zone role
7.3opp/g
TD vs expected
23 / 25.8
2.8 under expected
Next matchup
vs LAR
Aug 15 · Preseason
Recent opportunity and snap rates are holding near the season baseline. Strong inside-five usage supports touchdown upside. TD output is below expectation.
Position percentile
Boom / bust
14 games · boom 25+ · bust under 12.
PPG
21.2
Median
24.0
Floor (p25)
14.1
Ceiling (p75)
27.0
Best
31.5
Worst
9.3
Boom weeks
6/14
Bust weeks
2/14
Volatility
35%
Game by game
Season avg
21.2
Last five
11.7
Peak
31.5
Recent fantasy pts is below the season baseline. Opponent, result, and snap share are available in each played-game tooltip; empty weeks are explicitly retained.
Fantasy market
ADP (PPR)
102.1
Overall #100 · QB13
Snapshot Aug 10, 2026
2025 season projection
296.7proj fpts
3587 pass yds · 22 TD
Snapshot May 27, 2026
Wire