Decision strip
Season volume
33.0opp/g
Last-three delta
-9.7opp/g
Snap-share delta
-17.1 pts
Red-zone role
5.5opp/g
TD vs expected
21 / 18.3
2.7 over expected
Next matchup
@ NE
Aug 13 · Preseason
Opportunity volume and snap share are both below the season baseline. Strong inside-five usage supports touchdown upside. TD output is ahead of expectation.
Position percentile
Boom / bust
13 games · boom 25+ · bust under 12.
PPG
18.3
Median
17.5
Floor (p25)
16.1
Ceiling (p75)
22.8
Best
29.5
Worst
1.8
Boom weeks
1/13
Bust weeks
1/13
Volatility
37%
Game by game
Season avg
18.3
Last five
1.8
Peak
29.5
Recent fantasy pts is below the season baseline. Opponent, result, and snap share are available in each played-game tooltip; empty weeks are explicitly retained.
Fantasy market
ADP (PPR)
154.7
Overall #152 · QB25
Snapshot Aug 10, 2026
2025 season projection
237.4proj fpts
3101 pass yds · 19 TD
Snapshot May 27, 2026
Wire